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09/03/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Carlos Ruiz drove in the lone run of the game and Cole Hamels pitched seven strong innings, as the Philadelphia Phillies snuck past the Milwaukee Brewers, 1-0, in the opener of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park.
Hamels (9-10) gave up just three hits to go with seven strikeouts and three walks to pick up his second straight win. Ryan Madson recorded his fifth save of the year.
The victory moved the Phillies, who have won four in a row and seven of eight, within one game of the NL East-leading Braves, who lost to the Marlins on Friday.
Chris Capuano (2-3) was solid in five frames, allowing one run on four hits to suffer the hard-luck loss. He also fanned four batters and walked two for Milwaukee, which has lost four straight.
After stranding runners on first and second in the first, Philadelphia scored a run in the second. Shane Victorino led off the frame with a fly ball to left-center field and the ball dropped between Lorenzo Cain and Ryan Braun for a double. Victorino moved to third on a Raul Ibanez groundout and crossed the plate on Ruiz's grounder to short.
The Phillies had a great chance to add to their lead in the fourth. A pair of singles and a walk loaded the bases with nobody out. However, Ibanez struck out and Ruiz lined into a double play to keep it a 1-0 game.
Milwaukee didn't record a hit off Hamels until the fifth. Casey McGehee hit a single up the middle with one out. Hamels, though, got Cain to ground into a double play.
The Brewers put men on first and second with two outs in the sixth, but Corey Hart grounded into a fielder's choice to end the inning.
Milwaukee continued to strand runners on base in the seventh. Braun walked and Prince Fielder singled to put men on first and second with nobody out. Hamels retired the next three batters to keep the Phillies in front.
Jose Contreras tossed a perfect eighth and Madson retired the side in order in the ninth to seal the victory for Philadelphia.
Game Notes
Philadelphia swept a three-game set in Milwaukee back in May...The Phillies started a seven-game homestand on Friday...Philadelphia reinstated outfielder/first baseman Ross Gload from the 15-day disabled list and selected the contract of utilityman Greg Dobbs from Triple-A Lehigh Valley...Hamels improved to 5-5 over 15 home starts this season. He is 4-2 lifetime against the Brewers...Capuano fell to 0-2 in his career against the Phillies.
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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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